CPC Banner
 

CPC Verifications

Forecast 199706

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: monthly Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
2
2
5
1
3
2
6

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
20
19
12
51
1
2
2
5
21
21
14
56

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
17
0
17
17
33
33
83
17
50
33
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
36
34
21
91
2
4
4
9
38
38
25
100

hitrate: 0.500 hitrate: 0.375
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 0.33 2.50
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 2.43 0.36
Heidke skill score: 0.250 Heidke skill score: 0.062
true Heidke skill score: 0.217 true Heidke skill score: 0.018
Kuipers skill score: 0.250 Kuipers skill score: 0.062
true Kuipers skill score: 0.227 true Kuipers skill score: 0.017
threat score:
0.000 0.333 0.400
threat score:
0.000 0.358 0.118
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.200 0.100
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.004 0.048
probability of detection:
0.000 0.333 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.905 0.143
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.600
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.627 0.600
samples: 6 out of 56 samples: 56 out of 56
%coverage: 10.71 %coverage: 100.00