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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199709

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: monthly Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
4
0
2
2
4

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
3
18
31
52
0
2
2
4
3
20
33
56

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
50
50
100
0
50
50
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
5
32
55
93
0
4
4
7
5
36
59
100

hitrate: 0.500 hitrate: 0.357
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 0.00 2.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 2.60 0.12
Heidke skill score: 0.250 Heidke skill score: 0.036
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.026
Kuipers skill score: 0.250 Kuipers skill score: 0.036
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: -0.032
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.500
threat score:
0.000 0.333 0.057
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.016 -0.011
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.900 0.061
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.500
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.654 0.500
samples: 4 out of 56 samples: 56 out of 56
%coverage: 7.14 %coverage: 100.00