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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199710

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: monthly Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
4
2
1
1
4

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
7
38
7
52
2
1
1
4
9
39
8
56

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
50
25
25
100
50
25
25
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
13
68
13
93
4
2
2
7
16
70
14
100

hitrate: 0.250 hitrate: 0.696
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 0.00 4.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 1.33 0.50
Heidke skill score: -0.125 Heidke skill score: 0.545
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.115
Kuipers skill score: -0.125 Kuipers skill score: 0.545
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: 0.084
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.250
threat score:
0.000 0.717 0.091
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.106 0.041
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.974 0.125
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.750
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.269 0.750
samples: 4 out of 56 samples: 56 out of 56
%coverage: 7.14 %coverage: 100.00