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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199711

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: monthly Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
1
1
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
4
5
1
2
4
7

contingency table
fcst
obs
1
1
0
2
34
7
8
49
0
1
4
5
35
9
12
56

% contingency table
fcst
obs
14
14
0
29
0
0
0
0
0
14
57
71
14
29
57
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
2
2
0
4
61
13
14
88
0
2
7
9
63
16
21
100

hitrate: 0.714 hitrate: 0.214
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
2.00 0.00 1.25
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.06 5.44 0.42
Heidke skill score: 0.571 Heidke skill score: -0.179
true Heidke skill score: 0.481 true Heidke skill score: 0.039
Kuipers skill score: 0.571 Kuipers skill score: -0.179
true Kuipers skill score: 0.464 true Kuipers skill score: 0.060
threat score:
0.500 0.000 0.800
threat score:
0.028 0.137 0.308
equitable threat score:
0.417 0.000 0.533
equitable threat score:
-0.007 -0.020 0.246
probability of detection:
1.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.029 0.778 0.333
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.500 0.000 0.200
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.500 0.857 0.200
samples: 7 out of 56 samples: 56 out of 56
%coverage: 12.50 %coverage: 100.00