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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199712

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: monthly Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0
1
1
2

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
13
25
16
54
0
1
1
2
13
26
17
56

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
50
50
100
0
50
50
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
23
45
29
96
0
2
2
4
23
46
30
100

hitrate: 0.500 hitrate: 0.464
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 0.00 2.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 2.08 0.12
Heidke skill score: 0.250 Heidke skill score: 0.196
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.011
Kuipers skill score: 0.250 Kuipers skill score: 0.196
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: 0.009
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.500
threat score:
0.000 0.455 0.056
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.002 0.023
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.962 0.059
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.500
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.537 0.500
samples: 2 out of 56 samples: 56 out of 56
%coverage: 3.57 %coverage: 100.00