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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199801

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: monthly Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
2
2
0
0
3
3

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
5
49
54
0
0
2
2
0
5
51
56

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
33
33
0
0
67
67
0
0
100
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
9
88
96
0
0
4
4
0
9
91
100

hitrate: 0.667 hitrate: 0.125
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- -- 0.67
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 10.80 0.04
Heidke skill score: 0.500 Heidke skill score: -0.313
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.007
Kuipers skill score: 0.500 Kuipers skill score: -0.313
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: 0.039
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.667
threat score:
0.000 0.093 0.039
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.004 0.004
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.667
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.039
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 1.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.907 0.000
samples: 3 out of 56 samples: 56 out of 56
%coverage: 5.36 %coverage: 100.00