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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199802

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: monthly Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
3
8
11
0
0
3
3
0
3
3
6
0
6
14
20

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
3
8
11
4
4
31
39
0
3
3
6
4
10
42
56

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
15
40
55
0
0
15
15
0
15
15
30
0
30
70
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
5
14
20
7
7
55
70
0
5
5
11
7
18
75
100

hitrate: 0.150 hitrate: 0.125
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 0.50 0.43
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
2.75 3.90 0.14
Heidke skill score: -0.275 Heidke skill score: -0.313
true Heidke skill score: -0.141 true Heidke skill score: -0.120
Kuipers skill score: -0.275 Kuipers skill score: -0.313
true Kuipers skill score: -0.250 true Kuipers skill score: -0.234
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.176
threat score:
0.000 0.089 0.067
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.111 -0.094
equitable threat score:
-0.055 -0.078 -0.037
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.214
probability of detection:
0.000 0.400 0.071
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 1.000 0.500
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.897 0.500
samples: 20 out of 56 samples: 56 out of 56
%coverage: 35.71 %coverage: 100.00