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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199803

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: monthly Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
3
2
1
6
0
0
2
2
0
4
3
7
3
6
6
15

contingency table
fcst
obs
3
2
1
6
17
19
7
43
0
4
3
7
20
25
11
56

% contingency table
fcst
obs
20
13
7
40
0
0
13
13
0
27
20
47
20
40
40
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
5
4
2
11
30
34
13
77
0
7
5
13
36
45
20
100

hitrate: 0.400 hitrate: 0.446
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
2.00 0.33 1.17
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.30 1.72 0.64
Heidke skill score: 0.100 Heidke skill score: 0.170
true Heidke skill score: 0.118 true Heidke skill score: 0.069
Kuipers skill score: 0.100 Kuipers skill score: 0.170
true Kuipers skill score: 0.125 true Kuipers skill score: 0.064
threat score:
0.500 0.000 0.300
threat score:
0.130 0.388 0.200
equitable threat score:
0.375 -0.111 0.028
equitable threat score:
0.041 -0.007 0.119
probability of detection:
1.000 0.000 0.500
probability of detection:
0.150 0.760 0.273
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.500 1.000 0.571
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.500 0.558 0.571
samples: 15 out of 56 samples: 56 out of 56
%coverage: 26.79 %coverage: 100.00