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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199804

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: monthly Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
3
2
0
5
4
2
1
7

contingency table
fcst
obs
1
0
0
1
14
20
16
50
3
2
0
5
18
22
16
56

% contingency table
fcst
obs
14
0
0
14
0
0
14
14
43
29
0
71
57
29
14
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
2
0
0
2
25
36
29
89
5
4
0
9
32
39
29
100

hitrate: 0.143 hitrate: 0.375
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.25 0.50 5.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.06 2.27 0.31
Heidke skill score: -0.286 Heidke skill score: 0.062
true Heidke skill score: -0.105 true Heidke skill score: -0.011
Kuipers skill score: -0.286 Kuipers skill score: 0.062
true Kuipers skill score: -0.143 true Kuipers skill score: -0.011
threat score:
0.250 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.056 0.385 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.125 -0.105 -0.135
equitable threat score:
0.038 0.011 -0.073
probability of detection:
0.250 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.056 0.909 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 1.000 1.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.600 1.000
samples: 7 out of 56 samples: 56 out of 56
%coverage: 12.50 %coverage: 100.00