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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199807

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: monthly Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
1
0
1
0
1
1
2
4
5
13
22
4
7
14
25

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
1
0
1
6
14
20
40
4
5
13
22
10
20
33
63

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
4
0
4
0
4
4
8
16
20
52
88
16
28
56
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
2
0
2
10
22
32
63
6
8
21
35
16
32
52
100

hitrate: 0.560 hitrate: 0.429
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.25 0.29 1.57
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.10 2.00 0.67
Heidke skill score: 0.340 Heidke skill score: 0.143
true Heidke skill score: 0.080 true Heidke skill score: 0.068
Kuipers skill score: 0.340 Kuipers skill score: 0.143
true Kuipers skill score: 0.066 true Kuipers skill score: 0.069
threat score:
0.000 0.125 0.565
threat score:
0.000 0.304 0.310
equitable threat score:
-0.033 0.059 0.064
equitable threat score:
-0.015 0.039 0.048
probability of detection:
0.000 0.143 0.929
probability of detection:
0.000 0.700 0.394
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.500 0.409
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.650 0.409
samples: 25 out of 63 samples: 63 out of 63
%coverage: 39.68 %coverage: 100.00