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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199904

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: monthly Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
4
1
0
5
5
1
0
6

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
19
13
27
59
4
1
0
5
23
14
27
64

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
17
0
0
17
67
17
0
83
83
17
0
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
30
20
42
92
6
2
0
8
36
22
42
100

hitrate: 0.000 hitrate: 0.203
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 1.00 --
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 4.21 0.19
Heidke skill score: -0.500 Heidke skill score: -0.195
true Heidke skill score: -0.029 true Heidke skill score: -0.041
Kuipers skill score: -0.500 Kuipers skill score: -0.195
true Kuipers skill score: -0.100 true Kuipers skill score: -0.049
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.217 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.091 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.002 -0.071
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.929 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 1.000 1.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.780 1.000
samples: 6 out of 64 samples: 64 out of 64
%coverage: 9.38 %coverage: 100.00