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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199906

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: monthly Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
1
4
1
2
1
4

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
21
23
16
60
1
2
1
4
22
25
17
64

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
25
50
25
100
25
50
25
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
33
36
25
94
2
3
2
6
34
39
27
100

hitrate: 0.250 hitrate: 0.375
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 0.00 4.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 2.40 0.24
Heidke skill score: -0.125 Heidke skill score: 0.062
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.013
Kuipers skill score: -0.125 Kuipers skill score: 0.062
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: -0.012
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.250
threat score:
0.000 0.371 0.050
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.011 -0.003
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.920 0.059
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.750
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.617 0.750
samples: 4 out of 64 samples: 64 out of 64
%coverage: 6.25 %coverage: 100.00