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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199909

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: monthly Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
1
0
1
1
0
0
1
1
2
2
5
2
3
2
7

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
1
0
1
25
23
10
58
1
2
2
5
26
26
12
64

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
14
0
14
14
0
0
14
14
29
29
71
29
43
29
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
2
0
2
39
36
16
91
2
3
3
8
41
41
19
100

hitrate: 0.286 hitrate: 0.391
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.50 0.33 2.50
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.04 2.23 0.42
Heidke skill score: -0.071 Heidke skill score: 0.086
true Heidke skill score: -0.029 true Heidke skill score: 0.002
Kuipers skill score: -0.071 Kuipers skill score: 0.086
true Kuipers skill score: -0.031 true Kuipers skill score: 0.002
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.400
threat score:
0.000 0.377 0.133
equitable threat score:
-0.105 -0.120 0.160
equitable threat score:
-0.015 -0.015 0.076
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.885 0.167
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 1.000 0.600
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.603 0.600
samples: 7 out of 64 samples: 64 out of 64
%coverage: 10.94 %coverage: 100.00