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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200002

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: monthly Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
1
6
7
0
0
0
0
0
2
11
13
0
3
17
20

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
1
6
7
0
8
37
45
0
2
11
13
0
11
54
65

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
5
30
35
0
0
0
0
0
10
55
65
0
15
85
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
2
9
11
0
12
57
69
0
3
17
20
0
17
83
100

hitrate: 0.550 hitrate: 0.292
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 0.00 0.76
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 4.09 0.24
Heidke skill score: 0.325 Heidke skill score: -0.062
true Heidke skill score: -0.006 true Heidke skill score: 0.013
Kuipers skill score: 0.325 Kuipers skill score: -0.062
true Kuipers skill score: -0.010 true Kuipers skill score: 0.032
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.579
threat score:
0.000 0.167 0.196
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 -0.006
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.010 0.004
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.647
probability of detection:
0.000 0.727 0.204
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.000 0.154
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.822 0.154
samples: 20 out of 65 samples: 65 out of 65
%coverage: 30.77 %coverage: 100.00