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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200003

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: monthly Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
2
2
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
6
6
0
2
8
10

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
2
2
4
0
9
46
55
0
0
6
6
0
11
54
65

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
20
20
40
0
0
0
0
0
0
60
60
0
20
80
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
3
3
6
0
14
71
85
0
0
9
9
0
17
83
100

hitrate: 0.600 hitrate: 0.231
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 0.00 0.75
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 5.00 0.11
Heidke skill score: 0.400 Heidke skill score: -0.154
true Heidke skill score: 0.231 true Heidke skill score: 0.014
Kuipers skill score: 0.400 Kuipers skill score: -0.154
true Kuipers skill score: 0.375 true Kuipers skill score: 0.039
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.750
threat score:
0.000 0.158 0.111
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.375
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.006 0.021
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.750
probability of detection:
0.000 0.818 0.111
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.836 0.000
samples: 10 out of 65 samples: 65 out of 65
%coverage: 15.38 %coverage: 100.00