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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200004

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: monthly Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
0
0
4
4

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
2
2
15
28
19
62
0
0
2
2
15
28
23
66

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
50
50
0
0
0
0
0
0
50
50
0
0
100
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
3
3
23
42
29
94
0
0
3
3
23
42
35
100

hitrate: 0.500 hitrate: 0.455
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- -- 0.50
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.13 2.21 0.09
Heidke skill score: 0.250 Heidke skill score: 0.182
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.066
Kuipers skill score: 0.250 Kuipers skill score: 0.182
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: 0.060
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.500
threat score:
0.000 0.452 0.087
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
-0.027 0.048 0.058
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.500
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.087
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.548 0.000
samples: 4 out of 66 samples: 66 out of 66
%coverage: 6.06 %coverage: 100.00