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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200005

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: monthly Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
1
0
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
3

contingency table
fcst
obs
1
0
2
3
1
13
49
63
0
0
0
0
2
13
51
66

% contingency table
fcst
obs
33
0
67
100
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
33
0
67
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
2
0
3
5
2
20
74
95
0
0
0
0
3
20
77
100

hitrate: 0.333 hitrate: 0.212
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
3.00 -- 0.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
1.50 4.85 0.00
Heidke skill score: 0.000 Heidke skill score: -0.182
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.028
Kuipers skill score: 0.000 Kuipers skill score: -0.182
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: 0.063
threat score:
0.333 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.250 0.206 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.233 0.012 0.000
probability of detection:
1.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.500 1.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.667 0.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.667 0.794 0.000
samples: 3 out of 66 samples: 66 out of 66
%coverage: 4.55 %coverage: 100.00