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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200006

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: monthly Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
4
0
1
3
4

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
21
24
17
62
0
1
3
4
21
25
20
66

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
25
75
100
0
25
75
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
32
36
26
94
0
2
5
6
32
38
30
100

hitrate: 0.750 hitrate: 0.409
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 0.00 1.33
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 2.48 0.20
Heidke skill score: 0.625 Heidke skill score: 0.114
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.056
Kuipers skill score: 0.625 Kuipers skill score: 0.114
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: 0.053
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.750
threat score:
0.000 0.381 0.143
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.013 0.090
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.960 0.150
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.250
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.613 0.250
samples: 4 out of 66 samples: 66 out of 66
%coverage: 6.06 %coverage: 100.00