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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200007

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: monthly Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
3
3
6
12
11
0
8
19
14
3
14
31

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
12
17
18
47
11
0
8
19
23
17
26
66

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
10
10
19
39
35
0
26
61
45
10
45
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
18
26
27
71
17
0
12
29
35
26
39
100

hitrate: 0.355 hitrate: 0.379
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 4.00 1.36
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 2.76 0.73
Heidke skill score: 0.032 Heidke skill score: 0.068
true Heidke skill score: 0.059 true Heidke skill score: 0.117
Kuipers skill score: 0.032 Kuipers skill score: 0.068
true Kuipers skill score: 0.070 true Kuipers skill score: 0.125
threat score:
0.000 0.250 0.320
threat score:
0.000 0.362 0.216
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.170 -0.035
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.140 0.017
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.571
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.308
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.750 0.579
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.638 0.579
samples: 31 out of 66 samples: 66 out of 66
%coverage: 46.97 %coverage: 100.00