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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200008

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: monthly Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
4
3
1
8
5
6
12
23
9
9
13
31

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
7
13
25
45
5
6
12
23
12
19
37
68

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
13
10
3
26
16
19
39
74
29
29
42
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
10
19
37
66
7
9
18
34
18
28
54
100

hitrate: 0.484 hitrate: 0.368
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 0.89 1.77
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 2.37 0.62
Heidke skill score: 0.226 Heidke skill score: 0.051
true Heidke skill score: 0.159 true Heidke skill score: -0.002
Kuipers skill score: 0.226 Kuipers skill score: 0.051
true Kuipers skill score: 0.149 true Kuipers skill score: -0.002
threat score:
0.000 0.214 0.500
threat score:
0.000 0.255 0.250
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.058 0.164
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.011 -0.015
probability of detection:
0.000 0.333 0.923
probability of detection:
0.000 0.684 0.324
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.625 0.478
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.711 0.478
samples: 31 out of 68 samples: 68 out of 68
%coverage: 45.59 %coverage: 100.00