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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200009

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: monthly Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
4
7
0
3
4
7

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
15
23
23
61
0
3
4
7
15
26
27
68

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
43
57
100
0
43
57
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
22
34
34
90
0
4
6
10
22
38
40
100

hitrate: 0.571 hitrate: 0.397
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 0.00 1.75
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 2.35 0.26
Heidke skill score: 0.357 Heidke skill score: 0.096
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.021
Kuipers skill score: 0.357 Kuipers skill score: 0.096
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: 0.020
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.571
threat score:
0.000 0.359 0.133
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.008 0.045
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.885 0.148
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.429
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.623 0.429
samples: 7 out of 68 samples: 68 out of 68
%coverage: 10.29 %coverage: 100.00