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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200011

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: monthly Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
10
2
0
12
10
2
0
12

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
49
5
2
56
10
2
0
12
59
7
2
68

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
83
17
0
100
83
17
0
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
72
7
3
82
15
3
0
18
87
10
3
100

hitrate: 0.000 hitrate: 0.074
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 0.00 --
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 8.00 6.00
Heidke skill score: -0.500 Heidke skill score: -0.390
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.018
Kuipers skill score: -0.500 Kuipers skill score: -0.390
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: -0.070
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.086 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.015 -0.026
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.714 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 1.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.911 1.000
samples: 12 out of 68 samples: 68 out of 68
%coverage: 17.65 %coverage: 100.00