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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200103

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: monthly Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
2
0
2
0
2
0
2
4
0
2
6
4
4
2
10

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
2
0
2
31
14
15
60
4
0
2
6
35
16
17
68

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
20
0
20
0
20
0
20
40
0
20
60
40
40
20
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
3
0
3
46
21
22
88
6
0
3
9
51
24
25
100

hitrate: 0.400 hitrate: 0.235
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.50 0.50 3.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.06 3.75 0.35
Heidke skill score: 0.100 Heidke skill score: -0.147
true Heidke skill score: 0.167 true Heidke skill score: -0.013
Kuipers skill score: 0.100 Kuipers skill score: -0.147
true Kuipers skill score: 0.188 true Kuipers skill score: -0.015
threat score:
0.000 0.500 0.333
threat score:
0.000 0.226 0.095
equitable threat score:
-0.154 0.375 0.167
equitable threat score:
-0.029 -0.002 0.026
probability of detection:
0.000 0.500 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.875 0.118
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.000 0.667
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.767 0.667
samples: 10 out of 68 samples: 68 out of 68
%coverage: 14.71 %coverage: 100.00