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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200104

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: monthly Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
2
0
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
2
0
2
4

contingency table
fcst
obs
2
0
0
2
6
19
39
64
0
0
2
2
8
19
41
68

% contingency table
fcst
obs
50
0
0
50
0
0
0
0
0
0
50
50
50
0
50
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
3
0
0
3
9
28
57
94
0
0
3
3
12
28
60
100

hitrate: 1.000 hitrate: 0.338
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
1.00 -- 1.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.25 3.37 0.05
Heidke skill score: 1.000 Heidke skill score: 0.007
true Heidke skill score: 1.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.076
Kuipers skill score: 1.000 Kuipers skill score: 0.007
true Kuipers skill score: 1.000 true Kuipers skill score: 0.099
threat score:
1.000 0.000 1.000
threat score:
0.250 0.297 0.049
equitable threat score:
1.000 0.000 1.000
equitable threat score:
0.227 0.024 0.020
probability of detection:
1.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.250 1.000 0.049
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.703 0.000
samples: 4 out of 68 samples: 68 out of 68
%coverage: 5.88 %coverage: 100.00