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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200105

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: monthly Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
4
0
2
2
4

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
2
24
37
63
0
2
2
4
2
26
39
67

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
50
50
100
0
50
50
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
3
36
55
94
0
3
3
6
3
39
58
100

hitrate: 0.500 hitrate: 0.388
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 0.00 2.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 2.42 0.10
Heidke skill score: 0.250 Heidke skill score: 0.082
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.019
Kuipers skill score: 0.250 Kuipers skill score: 0.082
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: -0.023
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.500
threat score:
0.000 0.369 0.049
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.011 -0.008
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.923 0.051
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.500
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.619 0.500
samples: 4 out of 67 samples: 67 out of 67
%coverage: 5.97 %coverage: 100.00