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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200106

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: monthly Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
4
0
1
3
4

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
17
25
21
63
0
1
3
4
17
26
24
67

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
25
75
100
0
25
75
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
25
37
31
94
0
1
4
6
25
39
36
100

hitrate: 0.750 hitrate: 0.418
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 0.00 1.33
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 2.42 0.17
Heidke skill score: 0.625 Heidke skill score: 0.127
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.052
Kuipers skill score: 0.625 Kuipers skill score: 0.127
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: 0.048
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.750
threat score:
0.000 0.391 0.120
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.014 0.066
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.962 0.125
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.250
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.603 0.250
samples: 4 out of 67 samples: 67 out of 67
%coverage: 5.97 %coverage: 100.00