CPC Banner
 

CPC Verifications

Forecast 200107

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: monthly Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
3
2
0
5
9
10
8
27
12
12
8
32

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
9
13
18
40
9
10
8
27
18
23
26
67

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
9
6
0
16
28
31
25
84
38
38
25
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
13
19
27
60
13
15
12
40
27
34
39
100

hitrate: 0.312 hitrate: 0.313
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 0.42 3.38
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 1.74 1.04
Heidke skill score: -0.031 Heidke skill score: -0.030
true Heidke skill score: 0.059 true Heidke skill score: -0.075
Kuipers skill score: -0.031 Kuipers skill score: -0.030
true Kuipers skill score: 0.065 true Kuipers skill score: -0.073
threat score:
0.000 0.133 0.296
threat score:
0.000 0.260 0.178
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.010 0.062
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.020 -0.072
probability of detection:
0.000 0.167 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.565 0.308
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.600 0.704
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.675 0.704
samples: 32 out of 67 samples: 67 out of 67
%coverage: 47.76 %coverage: 100.00