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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200108

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: monthly Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
4
1
5
25
31
1
7
27
35

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
4
16
16
36
1
5
25
31
5
21
41
67

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
6
6
11
3
14
71
89
3
20
77
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
6
24
24
54
1
7
37
46
7
31
61
100

hitrate: 0.771 hitrate: 0.612
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 0.57 1.15
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 1.71 0.76
Heidke skill score: 0.657 Heidke skill score: 0.418
true Heidke skill score: 0.222 true Heidke skill score: 0.292
Kuipers skill score: 0.657 Kuipers skill score: 0.418
true Kuipers skill score: 0.179 true Kuipers skill score: 0.307
threat score:
0.000 0.222 0.758
threat score:
0.000 0.390 0.532
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.146 0.119
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.159 0.215
probability of detection:
0.000 0.286 0.926
probability of detection:
0.000 0.762 0.610
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.500 0.194
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.556 0.194
samples: 35 out of 67 samples: 67 out of 67
%coverage: 52.24 %coverage: 100.00