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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200109

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: monthly Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
6
7
1
0
6
7

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
26
14
20
60
1
0
6
7
27
14
26
67

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
14
0
86
100
14
0
86
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
39
21
30
90
1
0
9
10
40
21
39
100

hitrate: 0.857 hitrate: 0.299
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 -- 1.17
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 4.29 0.27
Heidke skill score: 0.786 Heidke skill score: -0.052
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.092
Kuipers skill score: 0.786 Kuipers skill score: -0.052
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: 0.110
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.857
threat score:
0.000 0.233 0.222
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.031 0.135
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.231
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.143
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.767 0.143
samples: 7 out of 67 samples: 67 out of 67
%coverage: 10.45 %coverage: 100.00