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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200111

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: monthly Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
3
0
1
3
4

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
1
0
1
0
3
59
62
0
0
3
3
0
4
62
66

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
25
0
25
0
0
0
0
0
0
75
75
0
25
75
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
2
0
2
0
5
89
94
0
0
5
5
0
6
94
100

hitrate: 0.750 hitrate: 0.091
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 0.00 1.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 15.50 0.05
Heidke skill score: 0.625 Heidke skill score: -0.364
true Heidke skill score: 0.429 true Heidke skill score: -0.010
Kuipers skill score: 0.625 Kuipers skill score: -0.364
true Kuipers skill score: 0.500 true Kuipers skill score: -0.077
threat score:
0.000 0.000 1.000
threat score:
0.000 0.048 0.048
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 1.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.013 0.003
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.750 0.048
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.952 0.000
samples: 4 out of 66 samples: 66 out of 66
%coverage: 6.06 %coverage: 100.00