CPC Banner
 

CPC Verifications

Forecast 200202

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: monthly Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
11
13
18
42
12
14
18
44

contingency table
fcst
obs
1
0
0
1
7
11
5
23
11
13
18
42
19
24
23
66

% contingency table
fcst
obs
2
0
0
2
0
2
0
2
25
30
41
95
27
32
41
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
2
0
0
2
11
17
8
35
17
20
27
64
29
36
35
100

hitrate: 0.455 hitrate: 0.455
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.08 0.07 2.33
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.05 0.96 1.83
Heidke skill score: 0.182 Heidke skill score: 0.182
true Heidke skill score: 0.085 true Heidke skill score: 0.157
Kuipers skill score: 0.182 Kuipers skill score: 0.182
true Kuipers skill score: 0.077 true Kuipers skill score: 0.153
threat score:
0.083 0.071 0.429
threat score:
0.053 0.306 0.383
equitable threat score:
0.062 0.050 0.033
equitable threat score:
0.038 0.095 0.104
probability of detection:
0.083 0.071 1.000
probability of detection:
0.053 0.458 0.783
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.571
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.522 0.571
samples: 44 out of 66 samples: 66 out of 66
%coverage: 66.67 %coverage: 100.00