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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200203

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: monthly Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
2
0
0
2
2
0
0
2
4
7
1
12
8
7
1
16

contingency table
fcst
obs
2
0
0
2
32
17
3
52
4
7
1
12
38
24
4
66

% contingency table
fcst
obs
13
0
0
13
13
0
0
13
25
44
6
75
50
44
6
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
3
0
0
3
48
26
5
79
6
11
2
18
58
36
6
100

hitrate: 0.188 hitrate: 0.303
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.25 0.29 12.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.05 2.17 3.00
Heidke skill score: -0.219 Heidke skill score: -0.045
true Heidke skill score: 0.028 true Heidke skill score: -0.017
Kuipers skill score: -0.219 Kuipers skill score: -0.045
true Kuipers skill score: 0.042 true Kuipers skill score: -0.022
threat score:
0.250 0.000 0.083
threat score:
0.053 0.288 0.067
equitable threat score:
0.143 -0.108 0.022
equitable threat score:
0.023 -0.048 0.019
probability of detection:
0.250 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.053 0.708 0.250
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 1.000 0.917
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.673 0.917
samples: 16 out of 66 samples: 66 out of 66
%coverage: 24.24 %coverage: 100.00