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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200204

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: monthly Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
2
2
1
1
2
4

contingency table
fcst
obs
1
0
0
1
6
21
37
64
0
0
2
2
7
21
39
67

% contingency table
fcst
obs
25
0
0
25
0
25
0
25
0
0
50
50
25
25
50
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
1
0
0
1
9
31
55
96
0
0
3
3
10
31
58
100

hitrate: 1.000 hitrate: 0.358
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
1.00 1.00 1.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.14 3.05 0.05
Heidke skill score: 1.000 Heidke skill score: 0.037
true Heidke skill score: 1.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.058
Kuipers skill score: 1.000 Kuipers skill score: 0.037
true Kuipers skill score: 1.000 true Kuipers skill score: 0.072
threat score:
1.000 1.000 1.000
threat score:
0.143 0.328 0.051
equitable threat score:
1.000 1.000 1.000
equitable threat score:
0.130 0.021 0.022
probability of detection:
1.000 1.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.143 1.000 0.051
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.672 0.000
samples: 4 out of 67 samples: 67 out of 67
%coverage: 5.97 %coverage: 100.00