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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200205

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: monthly Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
1
0
1
2

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
34
22
10
66
0
0
1
1
34
22
11
67

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
50
0
0
50
0
0
50
50
50
0
50
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
51
33
15
99
0
0
1
1
51
33
16
100

hitrate: 0.500 hitrate: 0.343
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 -- 1.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 3.00 0.09
Heidke skill score: 0.250 Heidke skill score: 0.015
true Heidke skill score: 0.333 true Heidke skill score: 0.026
Kuipers skill score: 0.250 Kuipers skill score: 0.015
true Kuipers skill score: 0.500 true Kuipers skill score: 0.029
threat score:
0.000 0.000 1.000
threat score:
0.000 0.333 0.091
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 1.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.007 0.077
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.091
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 1.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.667 0.000
samples: 2 out of 67 samples: 67 out of 67
%coverage: 2.99 %coverage: 100.00