CPC Banner
 

CPC Verifications

Forecast 200206

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: monthly Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
4
2
0
2
4

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
4
19
40
63
2
0
2
4
6
19
42
67

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
50
0
50
100
50
0
50
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
6
28
60
94
3
0
3
6
9
28
63
100

hitrate: 0.500 hitrate: 0.313
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 -- 2.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 3.32 0.10
Heidke skill score: 0.250 Heidke skill score: -0.030
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.013
Kuipers skill score: 0.250 Kuipers skill score: -0.030
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: 0.018
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.500
threat score:
0.000 0.302 0.045
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.025 -0.012
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.048
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.500
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.698 0.500
samples: 4 out of 67 samples: 67 out of 67
%coverage: 5.97 %coverage: 100.00