CPC Banner
 

CPC Verifications

Forecast 200207

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: monthly Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
1
2
6
9
3
2
15
20
4
4
21
29

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
4
16
27
47
3
2
15
20
7
18
42
67

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
3
7
21
31
10
7
52
69
14
14
72
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
6
24
40
70
4
3
22
30
10
27
63
100

hitrate: 0.586 hitrate: 0.463
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 2.25 0.95
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 2.61 0.48
Heidke skill score: 0.379 Heidke skill score: 0.194
true Heidke skill score: 0.096 true Heidke skill score: 0.139
Kuipers skill score: 0.379 Kuipers skill score: 0.194
true Kuipers skill score: 0.101 true Kuipers skill score: 0.166
threat score:
0.000 0.182 0.577
threat score:
0.000 0.327 0.319
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.078 0.045
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.093 0.071
probability of detection:
0.000 0.500 0.714
probability of detection:
0.000 0.889 0.357
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.778 0.250
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.660 0.250
samples: 29 out of 67 samples: 67 out of 67
%coverage: 43.28 %coverage: 100.00