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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200208

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: monthly Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
3
7
15
15
37
7
15
18
40

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
4
12
14
30
7
15
15
37
11
27
29
67

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
8
8
18
38
38
93
18
38
45
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
6
18
21
45
10
22
22
55
16
40
43
100

hitrate: 0.375 hitrate: 0.403
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 0.20 2.06
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 1.11 1.28
Heidke skill score: 0.062 Heidke skill score: 0.104
true Heidke skill score: -0.125 true Heidke skill score: -0.028
Kuipers skill score: 0.062 Kuipers skill score: 0.104
true Kuipers skill score: -0.111 true Kuipers skill score: -0.026
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.375
threat score:
0.000 0.267 0.294
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.067 -0.071
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.003 -0.029
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.833
probability of detection:
0.000 0.444 0.517
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 1.000 0.595
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.600 0.595
samples: 40 out of 67 samples: 67 out of 67
%coverage: 59.70 %coverage: 100.00