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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200209

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: monthly Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
5
10
16
1
5
10
16

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
2
9
40
51
1
5
10
16
3
14
50
67

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
6
31
63
100
6
31
63
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
3
13
60
76
1
7
15
24
4
21
75
100

hitrate: 0.625 hitrate: 0.284
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 0.00 1.60
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 3.64 0.32
Heidke skill score: 0.438 Heidke skill score: -0.075
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.081
Kuipers skill score: 0.438 Kuipers skill score: -0.075
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: -0.135
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.625
threat score:
0.000 0.161 0.179
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.037 -0.044
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.643 0.200
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.375
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.824 0.375
samples: 16 out of 67 samples: 67 out of 67
%coverage: 23.88 %coverage: 100.00