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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200211

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: monthly Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
1
1
5
0
6
3
5
0
8

contingency table
fcst
obs
1
0
0
1
25
21
13
59
1
5
0
6
27
26
13
66

% contingency table
fcst
obs
13
0
0
13
13
0
0
13
13
63
0
75
38
63
0
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
2
0
0
2
38
32
20
89
2
8
0
9
41
39
20
100

hitrate: 0.125 hitrate: 0.333
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.33 0.20 --
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.04 2.27 0.46
Heidke skill score: -0.313 Heidke skill score: 0.000
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.069
Kuipers skill score: -0.313 Kuipers skill score: 0.000
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: -0.067
threat score:
0.333 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.037 0.328 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.238 -0.116 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.022 -0.055 -0.066
probability of detection:
0.333 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.037 0.808 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 1.000 1.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.644 1.000
samples: 8 out of 66 samples: 66 out of 66
%coverage: 12.12 %coverage: 100.00