CPC Banner
 

CPC Verifications

Forecast 200301

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: monthly Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
3
0
5
2
3
0
5

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
26
10
25
61
2
3
0
5
28
13
25
66

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
40
60
0
100
40
60
0
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
39
15
38
92
3
5
0
8
42
20
38
100

hitrate: 0.000 hitrate: 0.152
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 0.00 --
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 4.69 0.20
Heidke skill score: -0.500 Heidke skill score: -0.273
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.075
Kuipers skill score: -0.500 Kuipers skill score: -0.273
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: -0.093
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.156 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.039 -0.067
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.769 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 1.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.836 1.000
samples: 5 out of 66 samples: 66 out of 66
%coverage: 7.58 %coverage: 100.00