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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199504

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: monthly Optimal Climate Normal Precip
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
0
0
2
2

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
7
27
22
56
0
0
2
2
7
27
24
58

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
100
100
0
0
100
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
12
47
38
97
0
0
3
3
12
47
41
100

hitrate: 1.000 hitrate: 0.500
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- -- 1.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 2.07 0.08
Heidke skill score: 1.000 Heidke skill score: 0.250
true Heidke skill score: nan true Heidke skill score: 0.068
Kuipers skill score: 1.000 Kuipers skill score: 0.250
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: 0.061
threat score:
0.000 0.000 1.000
threat score:
0.000 0.482 0.083
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.031 0.051
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.083
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.518 0.000
samples: 2 out of 58 samples: 58 out of 58
%coverage: 3.45 %coverage: 100.00