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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199510

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: monthly Optimal Climate Normal Precip
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
2
1
4
1
2
2
5

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
21
5
27
53
1
2
1
4
22
7
28
57

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
20
20
20
40
20
80
20
40
40
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
37
9
47
93
2
4
2
7
39
12
49
100

hitrate: 0.200 hitrate: 0.105
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 0.50 2.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 7.57 0.14
Heidke skill score: -0.200 Heidke skill score: -0.342
true Heidke skill score: -0.333 true Heidke skill score: -0.051
Kuipers skill score: -0.200 Kuipers skill score: -0.342
true Kuipers skill score: -0.313 true Kuipers skill score: -0.073
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.200
threat score:
0.000 0.091 0.032
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.154 -0.176
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.031 -0.033
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.500
probability of detection:
0.000 0.714 0.036
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 1.000 0.750
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.906 0.750
samples: 5 out of 57 samples: 57 out of 57
%coverage: 8.77 %coverage: 100.00