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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199601

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: monthly Optimal Climate Normal Precip
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
1
1
5
3
1
1
5

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
8
12
32
52
3
1
1
5
11
13
33
57

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
60
20
20
100
60
20
20
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
14
21
56
91
5
2
2
9
19
23
58
100

hitrate: 0.200 hitrate: 0.228
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 0.00 5.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 4.00 0.15
Heidke skill score: -0.200 Heidke skill score: -0.158
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.042
Kuipers skill score: -0.200 Kuipers skill score: -0.158
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: -0.053
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.200
threat score:
0.000 0.226 0.027
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.003 -0.056
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.923 0.030
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.800
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.769 0.800
samples: 5 out of 57 samples: 57 out of 57
%coverage: 8.77 %coverage: 100.00