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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199603

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: monthly Optimal Climate Normal Precip
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
4
1
7
2
4
1
7

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
20
21
9
50
2
4
1
7
22
25
10
57

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
29
57
14
100
29
57
14
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
35
37
16
88
4
7
2
12
39
44
18
100

hitrate: 0.143 hitrate: 0.386
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 0.00 7.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 2.00 0.70
Heidke skill score: -0.286 Heidke skill score: 0.079
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.034
Kuipers skill score: -0.286 Kuipers skill score: 0.079
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: -0.032
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.143
threat score:
0.000 0.389 0.062
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.029 -0.015
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.840 0.100
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.857
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.580 0.857
samples: 7 out of 57 samples: 57 out of 57
%coverage: 12.28 %coverage: 100.00