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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199610

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: monthly Optimal Climate Normal Precip
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
2
5
2
1
2
5

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
9
18
25
52
2
1
2
5
11
19
27
57

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
40
20
40
100
40
20
40
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
16
32
44
91
4
2
4
9
19
33
47
100

hitrate: 0.400 hitrate: 0.351
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 0.00 2.50
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 2.74 0.19
Heidke skill score: 0.100 Heidke skill score: 0.026
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.008
Kuipers skill score: 0.100 Kuipers skill score: 0.026
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: 0.008
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.400
threat score:
0.000 0.340 0.067
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.019 -0.013
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.947 0.074
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.600
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.654 0.600
samples: 5 out of 57 samples: 57 out of 57
%coverage: 8.77 %coverage: 100.00