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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199710

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: monthly Optimal Climate Normal Precip
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
2
5
2
1
2
5

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
16
14
22
52
2
1
2
5
18
15
24
57

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
40
20
40
100
40
20
40
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
28
25
39
91
4
2
4
9
32
26
42
100

hitrate: 0.400 hitrate: 0.281
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 0.00 2.50
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 3.47 0.21
Heidke skill score: 0.100 Heidke skill score: -0.079
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.005
Kuipers skill score: 0.100 Kuipers skill score: -0.079
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: 0.006
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.400
threat score:
0.000 0.264 0.074
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.008 -0.004
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.933 0.083
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.600
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.731 0.600
samples: 5 out of 57 samples: 57 out of 57
%coverage: 8.77 %coverage: 100.00