CPC Banner
 

CPC Verifications

Forecast 199805

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: monthly Optimal Climate Normal Precip
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
3
1
0
4
0
1
1
2
2
2
0
4
5
4
1
10

contingency table
fcst
obs
3
1
0
4
19
13
22
54
2
2
0
4
24
16
22
62

% contingency table
fcst
obs
30
10
0
40
0
10
10
20
20
20
0
40
50
40
10
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
5
2
0
6
31
21
35
87
3
3
0
6
39
26
35
100

hitrate: 0.400 hitrate: 0.258
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.80 0.50 4.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.17 3.38 0.18
Heidke skill score: 0.100 Heidke skill score: -0.113
true Heidke skill score: 0.118 true Heidke skill score: -0.020
Kuipers skill score: 0.100 Kuipers skill score: -0.113
true Kuipers skill score: 0.138 true Kuipers skill score: -0.022
threat score:
0.500 0.200 0.000
threat score:
0.120 0.228 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.250 0.048 -0.087
equitable threat score:
0.062 -0.022 -0.058
probability of detection:
0.600 0.250 0.000
probability of detection:
0.125 0.812 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.250 0.500 1.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.250 0.759 1.000
samples: 10 out of 62 samples: 62 out of 62
%coverage: 16.13 %coverage: 100.00