CPC Banner
 

CPC Verifications

Forecast 199910

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: monthly Optimal Climate Normal Precip
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
3
1
2
6
3
3
2
8

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
24
25
8
57
3
1
2
6
27
26
10
63

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
25
0
25
38
13
25
75
38
38
25
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
38
40
13
90
5
2
3
10
43
41
16
100

hitrate: 0.500 hitrate: 0.429
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 0.67 3.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 2.19 0.60
Heidke skill score: 0.250 Heidke skill score: 0.143
true Heidke skill score: 0.304 true Heidke skill score: 0.066
Kuipers skill score: 0.250 Kuipers skill score: 0.143
true Kuipers skill score: 0.333 true Kuipers skill score: 0.065
threat score:
0.000 0.667 0.333
threat score:
0.000 0.431 0.143
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.556 0.111
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.043 0.080
probability of detection:
0.000 0.667 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.962 0.200
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.667
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.561 0.667
samples: 8 out of 63 samples: 63 out of 63
%coverage: 12.70 %coverage: 100.00