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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199912

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: monthly Optimal Climate Normal Precip
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
3
0
0
3
3

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
45
10
5
60
0
0
3
3
45
10
8
63

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
100
100
0
0
100
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
71
16
8
95
0
0
5
5
71
16
13
100

hitrate: 1.000 hitrate: 0.206
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- -- 1.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 6.00 0.38
Heidke skill score: 1.000 Heidke skill score: -0.190
true Heidke skill score: nan true Heidke skill score: 0.058
Kuipers skill score: 1.000 Kuipers skill score: -0.190
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: 0.110
threat score:
0.000 0.000 1.000
threat score:
0.000 0.167 0.375
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.009 0.344
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.375
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.833 0.000
samples: 3 out of 63 samples: 63 out of 63
%coverage: 4.76 %coverage: 100.00