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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200001

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: monthly Optimal Climate Normal Precip
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
1
0
1
2
1
0
3
0
5
0
5
2
7
0
9

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
1
0
1
16
31
11
58
0
5
0
5
16
37
11
64

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
11
0
11
22
11
0
33
0
56
0
56
22
78
0
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
2
0
2
25
48
17
91
0
8
0
8
25
58
17
100

hitrate: 0.111 hitrate: 0.484
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.50 0.43 --
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.06 1.57 0.45
Heidke skill score: -0.333 Heidke skill score: 0.227
true Heidke skill score: -0.241 true Heidke skill score: -0.124
Kuipers skill score: -0.333 Kuipers skill score: 0.227
true Kuipers skill score: -0.500 true Kuipers skill score: -0.099
threat score:
0.000 0.111 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.484 0.000
equitable threat score:
-0.080 -0.200 0.000
equitable threat score:
-0.015 -0.083 -0.057
probability of detection:
0.000 0.143 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.838 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.667 1.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.466 1.000
samples: 9 out of 64 samples: 64 out of 64
%coverage: 14.06 %coverage: 100.00